# Turkish inflation falls below 30% for the first time in 57… | QANATONE

> Consumer prices rose 1.84% in September and 29.73% year on year, the first reading below 30% since November 2021. The rent increase cap…

Kaynak: https://www.qanatone.com/en/haber/tuik-eylul-enflasyonu-yuzde-30-alti/

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# Turkish inflation falls below 30% for the first time in 57 months

5 Oct 2026 3 min read News · Finance

Consumer prices rose 1.84% in September and 29.73% year on year, the first reading below 30% since November 2021. The rent increase cap stands at 31.49%.

## What happened

Turkey's statistics office TÜİK reported that consumer prices rose 1.84% in September and 29.73% from a year earlier, down from 31.51% in August. It is the first annual reading below 30% since November 2021, a 57-month gap. Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek highlighted the threshold and said disinflation is continuing.

## The numbers

Economists had expected about 30.16%, so the result came in slightly lower. Producer prices rose 2.07% on the month and 27.38% on the year. The 12-month average of annual CPI, which caps rent increases, came to 31.49%.

## Key terms

CPI tracks what households pay; producer prices track what manufacturers charge and often lead consumer prices. The 12-month average smooths out monthly swings, which is why the rent cap stays above the headline rate for a while even as inflation falls.

## Why it matters

The 30% mark is psychological rather than technical, but it shapes expectations for pricing, wage talks and loan rates, and it is the figure the central bank watches most. A monthly rate of 1.84% is still fast, and producer prices rising faster than consumer prices show cost pressure has not gone away.

## What comes next

October inflation is due on the first working day of November. The central bank's rate path and year-end forecasts will show whether the decline holds. Energy prices and the lira remain the main risks.

## A look back

Annual inflation peaked above 85% in autumn 2022 and climbed back near 75% in mid-2024 before tight monetary policy brought it down. Today's 29.73% is a large drop from the peak but still far above the central bank's 5% medium-term target. Economists see the move below 30% as the start of a harder phase, since much of the remaining inflation sits in slow-moving items such as services and rent.

## What it means for your business

Slower inflation makes longer-range pricing possible. Review your price list quarterly rather than monthly, put your rent renewal date on the calendar and know the 31.49% cap, track supplier increases separately to see where margins erode, and lean on your website and Google profile as low-cost channels while fixed costs keep rising.

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